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We're
approaching the time of year when eager investors may start thinking
of how much to fund their IRA accounts as well as 401(k) and similar
plans next year.
Some others are wondering whether it still makes sense to put
money into a 401(k) or a traditional IRA.
"I wish you would discuss whether tax-sheltered accounts are
still beneficial at all under some scenarios," wrote Steve from
Dallas. "For example, does it make sense for somebody who will
retire in two years or less to put money into a 401(k) or a
non-deductible IRA? I need some help in deciding what to do."
I'd start by making two immediate points. First, if you qualify
for employer matching in a 401(k) plan, by all means make the
contribution. To do otherwise is equivalent to refusing to accept
free money. Second, your individual situation could easily contain
enough variables to warrant a session with a financial planner or a
certified public accountant.
Steve's question is very valid, particularly since Congress has
changed the tax laws to favor long-term capital gains and dividends
earned from stocks and stock funds.
At least two very good arguments exist for not continuing to put
money into a tax-sheltered account:
First, long-term gains and stock dividends earned in a
traditional IRA or a 401(k) plan will be taxed as ordinary income.
That means the investor may keep as little as 65 percent of those
earnings. The same gains and dividends, when earned in a taxable
account, will be taxed at no more than 15 percent, letting the
investor keep 85 percent of them.
Second, taxable accounts give investors more choice of when they
pay taxes. There's no law requiring investors to sell taxable assets
(and thus to incur tax liability). But traditional IRAs and 401(k)
and similar plans require taxable distributions starting at age 70
1/2.
However, there are important arguments in favor of tax shelters,
too.
Investing in a 401(k) is tax-deductible. That means it costs less
out of pocket to save that way than in a non-deductible IRA or in a
taxable account. How important that is will be different for each
person.
The biggest argument for tax deferral is that it allows earnings
to compound without being reduced by taxes each year. Such
compounding won't make much difference in only the last two years
before retirement. But in real life, the savings could easily remain
invested for 10 years or more; in that case, tax-deferred
compounding is quite worthwhile.
Tax-sheltered accounts also give investors maximum flexibility.
Many people who are close to retirement, or already retired, may
want to shift some of their assets from stock funds to bond funds.
In a taxable account, doing that could trigger capital gains taxes
and reduce the size of the portfolio. In a tax-sheltered account,
selling stock funds and buying fixed-income funds won't affect the
investor's tax bill.
Another variable that matters is whether you're investing in
fixed-income funds or equity funds.
If Steve, for instance, is investing in fixed-income funds, he
probably should do so in the sheltered account, because he won't
lose any tax break by doing so. If he's investing in equities, he
may want to skip the 401(k) and use a taxable account.
Then there's the matter of tax brackets. If Steve expects to be
in a lower tax bracket after he retires, then deferring taxes could
be to his advantage. Instead of paying taxes of 35 percent now (if
he's in the top tax bracket), he might wind up paying only 25
percent later.
The problem is that Steve can't be certain about his future tax
bracket. In a sense, he has posed a question for which the
"real" right answer cannot be given.
Since I often advise investors to consult with certified public
accountants on this issue, I wondered how a CPA would tackle Steve's
question. To find out, we talked with Gregory Berkman, senior
partner of a CPA firm in Seattle.
"I don't like to rely on a crystal ball" to predict
future tax rates, Berkman said. "My crystal ball is not very
good. I like to tell people to defer, defer, defer." So he
would advise Steve to continue contributing to his IRA and 401(k)
accounts, even with only two years until retirement.
"I like to have people contribute as long as they can,"
he said. Once a taxpayer passes age 59 1/2, there's no penalty for
withdrawing the money from an IRA or 401(k), and that lends
flexibility.
Berkman is thoroughly familiar with the argument that equity
investments should be in taxable accounts in order to take advantage
of the new 15 percent maximum tax rate.
"But it's not a black or white deal," he said. "A
lot of it comes down to how you feel about your government and how
much you trust that government not to change the rules. How
confident are you that the capital gains tax will always be 15
percent?"
Berkman advises his clients to give themselves the most options
and the most flexibility in retirement. He used an analogy of
adjusting the temperature of water by blending just the right amount
from hot and cold faucets.
"I like to see people have a blend of 401(k) assets, Roth
IRAs and taxable accounts," he said. That lets a retiree mix
and match withdrawals each year to "blend the perfect
drink" of assets that will take the best advantage of whatever
the tax laws may be.
That seems to me like very sound advice. |