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What is the best safe place to invest $100,000 with the objective of
producing income, taking into account that the presidential election
squabble will affect the next president’s four-year term of office and
have a detrimental effect on investments? I am 67, retired and free of
debt. The money is in an IRA. I am a conservative investor, not a risk
taker. I’d like to get $500 a month without touching the principal.
Paul's Answer:
Let's ignore for a moment the fact that your money is in an IRA and look
at some alternatives.
If what you want is rock-solid
assurance that your money will be there, and $500 a month in the meantime,
you could put it in short-term certificates of deposit. Rates posted at
www.bankrates.com suggest you should be able to get a one-month CD paying
over 6 percent. Have your bank or credit union roll over the certificate
every month and send you a check for the interest. Your money will be as
safe as it can be, backed up by federal deposit insurance.
The downside is that if interest
rates fall, your CD yield could decline below 6 percent and you could
start receiving less than $500 a month.
Another rock-solid alternative is
to buy individual bonds that will pay you at least 6 percent. The interest
payments on the bonds won't change, and when the bonds mature you will get
every penny of your principal back. The trick is to figure out what
maturity you want. Longer-term bonds generally produce higher yields. But
they also make you wait longer before you are certain that you can get
your principal back.
Or you could invest in a bond
fund or a combination of bond funds. This is probably the best
alternative, even though you might have to occasionally dip into your
principal to get the $500 a month. A bond fund constantly buys and sells
bonds, and the portfolio's overall interest rate, hence its yield to you,
will move up and down slowly reflecting changes in interest rates. That
means that if interest rates go up, your yield will gradually rise,
presumably about the same time that inflation is higher.
However, the market value of
existing bonds almost always moves inversely to the direction of changes
in interest rates. So if rates rise, bonds fall. You can overcome this if
you own individual bonds; just keep them to maturity and you get your
money back. But if interest rates go up for an extended period, a bond
fund's entire portfolio could decline and not recover by the time you want
your money back.
This leaves bond investors with
some tricky choices to make. We've discussed some of those choices, and
made recommendations, in an article called All About Bonds, which you can
find on our Web site.
As I hope you can see, picking
"the best" place to invest is not as simple as it might seem.
But bear with me, for I have an idea that may come close.
In the end, you may not have any
way to accomplish your goal of leaving your principal untouched. If you
have a traditional IRA, you will be subject to minimum required
distributions starting when you reach age 70½. At that time you will have
to start liquidating your IRA. If you have other accounts, you might be
able to take your distributions from them and leave your bond fund
portfolio alone.
If your $100,000 is in a Roth
IRA, it won't be subject to the minimum distribution requirements. But
assuming that you'll have to meet those requirements, you simply cannot
create a portfolio now, whether it's CDs, Treasury bills bonds or bond
funds, that will remain inviolate.
So I suggest you let go of that
as a primary objective and focus on finding a safe way to obtain the
income you need without subjecting your principal to much market risk. I
think a combination of Vanguard GNMA and Vanguard Long-Term Corporate bond
funds would make an excellent base. They have current yields of 6.8
percent and 7.0 percent. That means you could take out $500 a month and
have some income left over to build up funds for a "rainy day"
if interest rates declined. And if rates dropped, the value of your bond
funds would rise.
I think this solution gives you
wide diversification, a "cushion" of excess yield and the
flexibility to withdraw exactly what you need for income and, later, for
meeting your IRA distribution requirements. |