Articles: Psychological Hurdles


Will the bear be with us a long time?
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October 24, 2002
Recently, I was watching the Suze Orman show on CNBC when a caller asked: “What is a secular bear market?” Apparently more and more investors are wondering about this, and I’ll use this article to address the topic. More important, I’ll talk about what investment strategies are effective in a secular bear market.

Bonds: still a good investment?
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May 06, 2002
As most readers of this newsletter know, bond prices move in the opposite direction of interest rates. When rates fall, older bonds with their higher payments are worth more than new bonds.

When all the experts disagree
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July 07, 2005
It was a balmy Saturday evening in late spring, at the end of a three-day investment conference in the Seattle area. I was about to leave the hotel where I had just finished being on a panel with four other newsletter publishers, when one of the attendees came up to me and said: "It’s really confusing to listen to five experts when they all have such different views of the market."

Aftermath of terror
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September 15, 2001
Terrorist attacks on New York and Washington, D.C. this month have produced profound shock waves far beyond those cities, and the aftermath could affect the national and world economy for an extended time.

Comfort vs. a dash of reality
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June 29, 1998
Do you take comfort in the long-term upward trend of the U.S. stock market? Maybe there’s less comfort in that trend than you think. A recent email message from a reader gives five examples worth passing on.

Understanding the importance of your pain threshold
User Rating: / 4
November 26, 1998
One of our investment management clients is a steel company whose retirement fund we manage a portion of using market timing. The head of this company's human resources department told me a story about what happened right after the Dow Jones Industrial Index plunged over 500 points in a single day in October 1987. The day of that crash, he said, almost all the employees who had discretion over their retirement accounts gave him instructions to get them out of the stock market.

Lessons learned at Harvard: easy solutions to baffling problems
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May 07, 2002
Late in April I had the privilege of taking part in the Sixth Conference on the Psychology of Investing at Harvard University. It left me feeling more convinced than ever of how important it is for investors to follow something other than their emotions.

What's your investment personality?
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July 07, 2005

A simple test may reveal what kind of investor you are. If you know that, you’ll have a much better chance of resisting Wall Street’s misleading siren songs – and the market’s emotional roller-coaster. You’ll find the test and some analysis in this article.

Worldwide wakeup call
User Rating: / 1
October 03, 2001
It’s much too soon to have any historical perspective, but it seems obvious that the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon could prove to be a turning point in American history. One classical definition of “crisis” is a time of change, and the current situation certainly seems to fill the bill.

Don't do what I do: Confessions of a stock investor
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April 20, 2004

If you’re a typical investor, you own at least a few individual stocks. If you work for a public company, you probably own some stock in it.

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